Institute of Development Studies.
Bio
Author Biography
Dominic Glover specialises in the study of technology and processes of socio-technical change, particularly in small-scale farming in the global South. He has more than 14 years of experience in research, policy analysis and communication on technological change, innovation, knowledge systems, governance and policy processes relating to agriculture, biotechnology and rural development.
Institute of Development Studies.
Bio
Author Biography
Kevin Hernandez is a graduate of the Institute of Development Studies (IDS) and currently a research consultant to the digital cluster at IDS.
Horizon Scanning Ltd.
Bio
Author Biography
Alun Rhydderch is Director of Horizon Scanning Ltd and Co-founder of the School of International Futures (SOIF).
Volume 47
Number 4
Published: September 21, 2016
In this article, we describe an innovative foresight approach, which we used to examine the interactions among three themes that are likely to be significant for international development policy and strategy in the coming decades. We adapted existing foresight scenario methods (drivers of change analysis, scenarios, wind-tunnelling) to investigate possible trade-offs, tensions and synergies that may exist among competing international development goals of reducing inequalities, accelerating sustainability and building more inclusive and secure societies. Our method combined foresight methods with programme theory analysis, an approach commonly used in impact evaluation. We describe our approach in detail and discuss its strengths and weaknesses.